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Pursuant to his Answer of 18th November, Official Report, column 451w, for the years (a) 2000-1 and (b) 2010-11, what is his estimate (i) of the number of additional pensioners eligible to claim income support as a result of the retirement pension not being increased annually in accordance with earnings,...

Asked by

Baroness Corston (Labour)

Answering body

Department of Social Security

Type

Written questions

Status

Answered

For answer on

18 December 1996

Answered on

18 December 1996

Ms Corston: To ask the Secretary of State for Social Security, pursuant to his answer of 18 November, Official Report, column 451, for the years (a) 2000-1 and (b) 2010-11, what is his estimate (i) of the number of additional pensioners eligible to claim income support as a result of the retirement pension not being increased annually in accordance with earnings, (ii) of the additional cost, at 1995-96 prices and (iii) of the additional cost of administration, assuming that the difference between the per capita costs of administering the basic retirement pension and income support in 1995-96 were applied to subsequent years, that the basic retirement pension continued to be price-indexed and that the number and amount of other sources of income remained as now. [8248] Mr. Heald: Estimated numbers of additional pensioners in receipt of income support and the additional cost to income support as a result of the basic retirement pension not being uprated in accordance with earnings are given in the table. The table also contains estimates as a result of the basic retirement pension not being increased in accordance with the higher of prices and average earnings. Estimates have been made using Pensim, a dynamic simulation model that projects pensioners' incomes into the next century. Pensim estimates are based on a number of economic and behavioral assumptions, and in particular that average earnings increase by 1.5 per cent. per year above prices. Due to the reliance on assumptions and the time period covered, caseload estimates have been rounded to the nearest 100,000 and cost estimates to the nearest £100 million, and should be treated with caution. Further details of the methodology and assumptions used by Pensim are outlined in GES working paper no. 129 "PENSIM: A Dynamic Simulation Model of Pensioner Incomes". Copies are available in the Library. Number of additional pensioners in receipt of income support, as a result of the basic retirement pension not being increased annually in accordance with earnings since 1980 _________________________________________________________________________________________________. 2000-01 2010-11 Additional pensioners in Additional cost to IS £ Additional pensioners in Additional cost to IS £ receipt of IS million receipt of IS million Basic retirement pension 900,000 600 600,000 400 increasing in line with average earnings Basic retirement pension 900,000 600 600,000 400 increasing in line with higher of average earnings and prices Estimated administration -- 32 -- 21 cost to nearest £1 million _________________________________________________________________________________________________. 1. Pensioners are defined as those single aged at state pension age or above, or couples in which the husband is aged at state pension age or above. 2. Caseload figures have been rounded to the nearest 100,000. Cost figures have been rounded to the nearest £100 million. 3. Costs are at 1995-96 prices.

Date

18 December 1996

Reference

8248; 287 c754W

House

House of Commons

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